2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 5 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 6 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 7 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 8 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Riley Greene 4 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 5 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 6 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 7 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 8 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Riley Greene 4 HRs
Vinnie Pasquantino

Vinnie Pasquantino

LHB
KC · 63 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
11.7%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.153
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#10
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.125
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
28th pctile
88.8
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
43th pctile
8.2%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
46th pctile
13.3% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
56th pctile
395
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
50th pctile
9.5%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
8.3%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
8.7%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
28th pctile
40
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 6 HRs in 63 games
Due (1×)
1.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
7
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
63
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
7
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
17%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#125.3
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-07 #39 Slade Cecconi Kauffman Stadium L/R 🔥 102.2 mph 414.0 ft
All Appearances
63 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-11 #90 Kumar Rocker L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #159 MacKenzie Gore L/L * 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-09 #156 Nathan Eovaldi L/R * 8.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-07 #160 Connor Prielipp L/L * 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 #165 Joe Ryan L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 #150 Zebby Matthews L/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 #138 Andrew Morris L/R * 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 #159 Chase Burns L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 💥
2026-06-02 #150 Andrew Abbott L/L * 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-06-01 #80 Lyon Richardson L/R * 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-31 #214 Jack Leiter L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-30 #211 Kumar Rocker L/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #222 MacKenzie Gore L/L * 5.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-27 #199 Gerrit Cole L/R * 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 #227 Cam Schlittler L/R * 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 #210 Will Warren L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 #249 Bryan Woo L/R * 6.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 #253 George Kirby L/R * 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 #198 Logan Gilbert L/R * 10.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 #157 Connelly Early L/L * 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 #165 Ranger Suarez L/L * 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #135 Sonny Gray L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-17 #147 Andre Pallante L/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-16 #100 Kyle Leahy L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-15 #139 Dustin May L/R * 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-14 #72 Anthony Kay L/L * 5.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #136 Noah Schultz L/L * 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #108 Erick Fedde L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #74 Burch Smith L/R * 11.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #67 Keider Montero L/R * 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #39 Slade Cecconi L/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-06 #43 Joey Cantillo L/L * 15.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #54 Gavin Williams L/R * 17.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-04 #32 Tanner Bibee L/R * 21.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #113 Luis Castillo L/R * 16.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 #61 Emerson Hancock L/R * 21.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 #156 Bryan Woo L/R * 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-29 #37 Luis Severino L/R * 16.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #179 Reid Detmers L/L * 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #183 Walbert Urena L/R 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #155 Chris Bassitt L/R 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-21 #149 Shane Baz L/R 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-20 #113 Kyle Bradish L/R 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #73 Ryan Weathers L/L 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #92 Will Warren L/R 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 #122 Cam Schlittler L/R 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-16 #147 Keider Montero L/R 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-15 #44 Jack Flaherty L/R 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 #124 Framber Valdez L/L 1.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #88 Erick Fedde L/R 11.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #94 Davis Martin L/R 12.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-09 #36 Anthony Kay L/L 11.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #83 Joey Cantillo L/L 12.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 #67 Gavin Williams L/R 14.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 #54 Tanner Bibee L/R 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 #110 Kyle Harrison L/L 11.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #212 Brandon Sproat L/R 1.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #117 Chad Patrick L/R 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 #10 Taj Bradley L/R 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 #94 Joe Ryan L/R 12.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #113 Simeon Woods Richardson L/R 11.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 #59 Grant Holmes L/R 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-28 #148 Reynaldo López · 10.5% ⚪ D · — ·

Vinnie Pasquantino's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

63 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.172

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.